Sitemap - 2024 - Cautious Optimism

Oh god, the VCs have discovered Christianity

Welcome to the stablecoin boom

Economic Calendar for the Week of December 29, 2024

The OpenAI corporate revamp seems pretty reasonable

What did you think they thought?

The Musk-a16z admin continues to grow

Economic Calendar for the Week of December 22, 2024

o3 will see you now

I, for one, am opposed to monarchy

All hail nuclear power

If you don't have a satellite megacluster are you even a nation-state?

Explaining The AI gap

Economic Calendar for the Week of December 15, 2024

ServiceTitan just kicked the IPO door wide open

Good news, IPO edition

Inflation, defanged tigers, GM pulls the Cruise plug, and Tom Cotton

Sunshine and moonbeams, motherfuckers

Stimulus, Rent the Runway, and do people know how angry the average consumer is?

Economic Calendar for the Week of December 8, 2024

OpenAI's smart revenue push, self-driving wars, and what to make of our new AI king

Yes, little AI agent, you can use my computer

What's going on with ServiceTitan's IPO, earnings updates, and stock market stupidity

Intel's mess, SpaceX's shiny new valuation, and the two-horse AI race

Building in public, IPO watch, and what to do about Europe

Economic Calendar for the Week of December 1, 2024

Is that a stock or a religion?

Two startups to watch, and guess which nations are our largest trading partners?

The death of early career gigs, encryption, and the Thread Boys' ascendency

Economic Calendar for the Week of November 24, 2024

Is Chrome divesture a sacrificial lamb or just a government gambit?

Nvidia and the AI scaling wall, and what founder mode really is

When venture incentives and founder needs diverge

ServiceTitan files to go public, Substack-o-nomics and please don't scratch my Bakkt

Two cheers for looser self-driving regulations

One more IPO for the road

The Musk-a16z administration

Klarna's going public, and I'm excited as hell

AI coding tools may be undervalued, and Shopify v. Stripe

Swiggy's IPO inches closer to trading, and is the stock market dangerously overvalued?

Economic Calendar for the Week of November 10th, 2024

Why Applovin is the best-performing tech stock of the year

Venture incentives, tariffs, and who owns Trump?

The good news is that the market thinks Trump is full of shit

Election day jitters

Investors are (still) worried that Big Tech is spending too much (again)

Economic Calendar for the Week of November 4th, 2024

Microsoft, Meta, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Uber earnings

Google, Reddit, Snap earnings, and do we need an economic crisis?

How Much Revenue Does AI Startup Sierra Need? $225M

Magnificent 7 earnings week, election betting, and the latest from Robinhood

WeRide goes public as self-driving reaches its commercial tipping point

Let's talk about Tesla

Anthropic just made the agentic AI race interesting

Why stablecoins matter to democracy and domestic debt

Inside Pony.AI's self-driving IPO

Netflix's insane cash generation, and venture capital's new diet

Is $7.2B a lot of money for Squarespace?

ASML earnings, slowing cloud growth, and the Perplexity question

Worries about Cerebras's IPO, the never-ending crisis at Boeing, and nuclear power

The crisis VCs face turning investments into cash returns

Investors grade Tesla's self-driving event, and why you shouldn't compare OpenAI to Google

Inflation data disappoints, notes on Crunchbase's AI strategy, and the latest OpenAI math

How many robotaxis are there in the world today?

Chinese stocks and American obesity both miss a step

How will the public markets value cybersecurity unicorn Snyk?

Venture investment cools in Q3, AI shines, exits disappoint (again)

26 new YC-backed startups to keep an eye on

Inside AI chip startup Cerebras's S-1 filing

Inside the IPO Filing of Food Delivery Giant Swiggy

SaaS is so fetch

What's Plaid worth? And the highs and lows of selling video games

How unicorns are turning into zombies

Smartsheet going private lowers implied exit valuations for startups

Intel isn’t going to dry up and blow away

The OpenAI math maths

Forget Brat Summer, it's Rate Cut Fall

The Fed is going to cut rates today, so get your votes in now

Imagine paying $10M for mid YouTube agitprop, only to get your propaganda armed banned by Zuck

Why stablecoins are having a moment, and the State of the Blog

Viva la acceleration, and how Medium reset its cap table

Tech is fun again, and I’m here for it

MariaDB goes private for a pittance and the decline of SaaS

How Medium turned profitable and told OpenAI to pound sand

IPO market still stalled while nine-figure rounds are raised

Duck! It's a stork!

Breaking up Google is now a bipartisan view

Why Nvidia's stock is down

Meet the nine companies with genAI revenues of nine-figures or greater

Help, I’m diluting myself

Here come the (humanoid) robots

Software is eating its makers

Why Peloton's stock is spiking today

Can blockchain save us from a world of rampant, AI-driven IP theft?

Hey look, AI is having real business impacts after all

The pendulum is swinging back towards founders, which isn't great news for beleaguered VCs

Sure, I'll pay 2,000x revenue for your AI business

Consumer strength, future inflation concerns, and behold, AngelList data

How would you break up Alphabet?

Inside WeRide's IPO filing, and the latest fintech shutdowns

Why that AI model you love is "the fastest depreciating asset in human history"

Dating apps are cooked, and the per-capita Olympics

Uber crushes earnings, Google loses in court, and will the last person at OpenAI turn off the lights?

Why the global financial markets are selling off

Maybe the Fed should have already cut, earnings roundup, and more on AI data

Good news for open-source AI as the market screams for Fed action

Microsoft answers the AI revenue question

Economic Calendar

Tech earnings kick off as Canva works to make M&A great again

Twitter revenues, Indian IPOs, and how to raise twice in one year

Venture capital is failing the journalist test

Data wars, fighting VCs, and how Meta is disrupting the AI model market

Tesla and Alphabet earnings, OneStream's IPO, and did VCs buy Trump at the top?

Wiz walks, Spotify impresses, and should VCs rotate back to SaaS?

Tech's political moment, my birthday, and the Internet turns against AI crawling

Crowdstrike breaks the world as anti-Trump VCs find their voice

Decentralization, acceleration, and the EU's technology tipping point

What Silicon Valley thinks it will get from a second Trump term

Let's all stare at OneStream's IPO filing

Why Google may spend $23B buying Wiz, and the Wiz theory of the 2024 election

AI agents, and how Europe is keeping venture's hopes up despite Asia

Inflation falls, stocks rise, and startups (should) rejoice

Nice AI model you have there, would be a shame if something happened to it

Startup valuations are breaking records thanks to AI

AI's missing revenue, and how Beehiiv plans to scale on the cheap

July 4th, tech's international tax, and why the bitcoin selloff is my fault

AI demand is setting tech climate goals back

Neobanks are killing it, and what Theory Ventures' Tomasz Tunguz thinks of the Series A crunch

PE-backed Solera is going public, which is cool apart from its insane debt costs

A good-ish IPO, a blizzard of AI updates, and what the hell are the Democrats going to do?

Webtoon goes public, and the IPO scale question

Why the IPO I'm most excited about isn't Databricks or Stripe

Will paying for training data make AI a mediocre business?

Is 'AI search' without plagiarism possible?

Trump has a bridge to sell you

Billion-dollar markups are back, y'all

The Series A Crunch Is No Joke

Why Fisker failed

Meet the fintech startup that Wells Fargo is accidentally subsidizing

AI agents are warming up the guillotine for traditional SaaS companies

Tempus goes public as corporate leaders struggle with AI deployments

OpenAI's growth is one of the most astounding business results of all time

Is venture capital about to get cut in half?

Investors cheer Apple's AI progress, and we're going to need a new capitalism

Time for Apple to put up or shut up on AI

Inside Webtoon's S-1 filing

Women raise more venture capital, but there’s a catch

I regret to inform you that I am considering diversifying (kinda) into bitcoin

AI folks are worried about AI folks

Higher interest rates aren't bad for all startups, it turns out

Weekend riff: The strange death of Pluralsight's value

Why software is melting down

Are media-AI deals a devil’s bargain?

Forget ads, every tech company wants to be a gaming giant now

What's $6B between friends?

How to un-stupid AI regulation, defense tech, and eight years of not drinking

I've figured out why some crypto rounds are way too big

AI cash, Nvidia's next test, and guess who wants to save Buzzfeed

Alex Writes -> Cautious Optimism

Changes!

How to save media and keep AI startups alive

TikTok, capitalism, and whose side are you on?

Ghosting Substack

Yes, we took your stuff and are making a killing. Why aren't you happy when we offer you scraps?

The best books I read this year, 2023 edition